Nipate

How can he achieve that when he is the head of the gravy train? Stop dreaming about Ruto fighting corruption. He does not even mention the intention of fighting graft because he knows very well he is the biggest beneficiary of graft in Kenya.

This is good - infra remains a big deficit. Obviously Singapore or "1st world" is symbolism or imagery. Kenya needs to aim for Turkey 2nd tier first.

Ruto needs to stamp his foot and get it done. Development just like politics requires some hardheadedness.

If he could lock up a few people over SHA theft - he can convince many people who are pessimistic. People believe such projects are grand theft schemes like Goldenberg.

Sifuna has how many votes in Bungoma. Nothing. Babu is force in Nairobi slums. The rest sijui amisi. Nobody expect 100% of ODM or UDA or Jubilee to move. These few dissidents are very normal.

I agree. Mbeere is mortal blow for Kindiki. Natembeya has also set himself for big night. Everyone else will survive. Gachagua will still fight.

I agree Matiang'i is a pompous fool. Ironically he is the most secure. Gusii lack even a Natembeya calibre so they will still cut him slack if he gets his shit together soon.

What I see overall:
-If Ruto wins big as you predict - it is game over for 2027. Opposition needs to win and stick together to stand a chance. They are more desperate than Ruto.
-If Ruto loses both Mbeere and Malava - we have 50-50 scenario. Where Ruto and Kalonzo stand a chance and it depends who plays it better next 2 years.

ODM is tricky even if Ruto loses Mbeere and Malava. Wanga or Mbadi was supposed to be Raila pawn but now that is up in the air. They only give him solid Luo with DPORK. Even Joho cannot deliver Coast because he is weak in Mijikenda. But Ruto is a star player so we have a real derby if he is cornered on Nov 27.

Quote from: RV Pundit on November 23, 2025, 11:26:15 AM

Opposition will lose in Malava and Mbeere because polls are too tight - which mean incumbency will rig/bribe kidogo to flip the game.
Kiambaa Ka-wanjiku had 20% polling advantage - but it came down 50-100 votes.

Matiangi win or lose = LOSER - there is NO JUBILEE anywhere - he was campaign for PDP and another party in Nyamira - he might even lose his home ground in Matiangi.

Gachagua -  Mt kenya east - if he wins - he harvest - if he loses - Ruto will kick out in many parts of mt kenya. He is playing in Maasailand, has one wild card in Coast, and Malala Luhya. He is likely to pick 1 or 2 in Maasailand where Kikuyus can pick a good Maasai.

Natembeya - He is trying to upstage Wamalwa - so big night for him - If DAP wins Malava he will forget Tranzoia - if DAP fails in Malava, Bungoma ward and Kakamega ward - he is finished - he will have to retreat to defend his governor position.

Big night for Kindiki - he wins - he retain DPORK - he loses - he loses everything - ODM gains everything he has.


My thoughts are on X.

https://x.com/Bygones_24/status/1992476091022442946

Seem to have been a revenge killing.

Quote from: Githunguri on November 23, 2025, 12:34:57 PM

So which thug killed Were?

What was the intended outcome?

By who?

I agree Matiang'i is a pompous fool. Ironically he is the most secure. Gusii lack even a Natembeya calibre so they will still cut him slack if he gets his shit together soon.

What I see overall:
-If Ruto wins big as you predict - it is game over for 2027. Opposition needs to win and stick together to stand a chance. They are more desperate than Ruto.
-If Ruto loses both Mbeere and Malava - we have 50-50 scenario. Where Ruto and Kalonzo stand a chance and it depends who plays it better next 2 years.

ODM is tricky even if Ruto loses Mbeere and Malava. Wanga or Mbadi was supposed to be Raila pawn but now that is up in the air. They only give him solid Luo with DPORK. Even Joho cannot deliver Coast because he is weak in Mijikenda. But Ruto is a star player so we have a real derby if he is cornered on Nov 27.

Opposition will lose in Malava and Mbeere because polls are too tight - which mean incumbency will rig/bribe kidogo to flip the game.
Kiambaa Ka-wanjiku had 20% polling advantage - but it came down 50-100 votes.

Matiangi win or lose = LOSER - there is NO JUBILEE anywhere - he was campaign for PDP and another party in Nyamira - he might even lose his home ground in Matiangi.

Gachagua -  Mt kenya east - if he wins - he harvest - if he loses - Ruto will kick out in many parts of mt kenya. He is playing in Maasailand, has one wild card in Coast, and Malala Luhya. He is likely to pick 1 or 2 in Maasailand where Kikuyus can pick a good Maasai.

Natembeya - He is trying to upstage Wamalwa - so big night for him - If DAP wins Malava he will forget Tranzoia - if DAP fails in Malava, Bungoma ward and Kakamega ward - he is finished - he will have to retreat to defend his governor position.

Big night for Kindiki - he wins - he retain DPORK - he loses - he loses everything - ODM gains everything he has.


My thoughts are on X.

https://x.com/Bygones_24/status/1992476091022442946