You believe Kikuyus or Mt kenya are 50% plus one of kenya.
This is your problem.
Ruto already gave you the FCK you card by impeaching Gachagua.
Right now ODM-UDA are moving very fast towards merge.
No opposition so far - except by Sifuna, Orengo and Otsotsi.
Once we merge ODM Raila machinery with UDA Ruto machinery - let even say URP machinery
URP secured 27% in 2013.
Raila secured 33-35% always - 85-95Mps.
Combine those two - it over for opposition.
Ruto min will win with 60%.
So far only 7 counties he will not his 25% - Muranga, Nyeri, Nyandarua, Kirinyanga, Makueni, Machakos(*) and Kitui.
Kiambu he will get 25% - so many non-kikuyus there nowadays.
Nairobi 50-50 as always. Nakuru 50-50. Laikipia slight edge for Gachagua *.
The rest of counties Ruto will SWEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEP
You see uou make your own facts and believe them .
Fact is Uhuru was involved in winning 3 elections 2007,2013,2017 .
Simple reason he could not win 2022 is because the people who made him win all those 2017, 2013 elections refused to board and follow him if he would have done what he did in 2007 and follow the people he would be on the winning side.
Uhuru /Raila had bought more leaders and parties than Ruto . Azimio as a coalition going to election was undeniably big you vould compare to Kenya Kwanza .
Ruto was lucky voters were on his side something he is not lucky with in 2027.
First Ruto has almost all arsenals - you'd wish to have.
Raila/Uhuru dont know how use money - Ruto beat them to it - buying more leaders and people with money.
Now this useless opposition are looking up for kenyattas to provide funding.
And Kenyattas without Raila knows it hopeless mission
The last person to close opposition room will be Kalonzo and he will switch off the light.
2027 is over. Smart people are preparing for 2032 minus Ruto.
There is no scenario where Ruto makes it back .Raila/Uhuru had more money than Ruto and had Government machinery too but lost to Ruto simply because its not money nor government machinery which wins elections but voters . This time around they have decided Ruto to go out .