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91
Kenya Discussion / Re: Ida Odinga Vs Oburu Odinga?What is the end game?
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on January 13, 2026, 07:41:41 PM »
 :) what's their choice? - Ruto and Sakaja are not Kikuyus either.

If Babu and Sifuna can get Kenya Moja to back Kalonzo - they will get the seats.
If you are Babu - that almost ensure a landslide. How can you trade it for Sakaja deputy? :)

ODM NEC just mandated Oburu to do deal with Ruto.
Luo will split.. ODM will bag most seats in Luo. But anti-Ruto group - Orengo and Otiendes - will defy the party and back Kalonzo.

Let's see if Ruto can work any magic - with his big money.

Quote from: RV Pundit on January 13, 2026, 02:16:40 PM
Gachagua has so many personalities flaw I dont see DCP becoming big party.
It will win one or two governors seats.
And that is it.

Kalonzo is being lied to...and so is Babu.

Kikuyu to go to election --- to vote for others - eti because they hate Ruto so much :) :)

Maajabu. I dont believe it.
92
Kenya Discussion / Re: Uganda shuts down internet ahead of elections - Ruto is in great company
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on January 13, 2026, 07:29:53 PM »
Why shut internet with such massive lead?

Museveni runaway favorite at 60.9%, new poll shows
https://www.independent.co.ug/museveni-runaway-favorite-at-60-9-new-poll-shows/
93
Kenya Discussion / Uganda shuts down internet ahead of elections - Ruto is in great company
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on January 13, 2026, 07:27:46 PM »
Uganda Communication Commission orders 'temporary' shut down of internet ahead of Thursday polls
https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/africa/2026-01-13-uganda-orders-temporary-shut-down-of-internet
94
Kenya Discussion / Re: Ida Odinga Vs Oburu Odinga?What is the end game?
« Last post by Nowayhaha on January 13, 2026, 05:47:33 PM »

They said the same thing in 2022 about Ruto , and Ruto was overwhelmingly voted for .
Fact which you know is that Ruto blundered about Gachagua you even talked of how you admired him.
Rutos mistakes cost him and unfortunately he keeps on making mistake after mistake .
Just like Raila the mistakes will make him lose Presidency in 2027 . There is no way about it .
He already knows in 2002 he was one of the few who told Moi KANU will lose because of Raila and FYI he never forgave Raila for that.He is not forgiving .

Quote from: RV Pundit on January 13, 2026, 02:16:40 PM
Gachagua has so many personalities flaw I dont see DCP becoming big party.
It will win one or two governors seats.
And that is it.

Kalonzo is being lied to...and so is Babu.

Kikuyu to go to election --- to vote for others - eti because they hate Ruto so much :) :)

Maajabu. I dont believe it.
95
Kenya Discussion / Re: Ida Odinga Vs Oburu Odinga?What is the end game?
« Last post by RV Pundit on January 13, 2026, 02:16:40 PM »
Gachagua has so many personalities flaw I dont see DCP becoming big party.
It will win one or two governors seats.
And that is it.

Kalonzo is being lied to...and so is Babu.

Kikuyu to go to election --- to vote for others - eti because they hate Ruto so much :) :)

Maajabu. I dont believe it.
96
Kenya Discussion / Re: Ida Odinga Vs Oburu Odinga?What is the end game?
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on January 12, 2026, 12:55:53 PM »
Muranga - don't be surprised if Kang'ata run on DCP. For dog-fight with CDF rock-star Ndindi.

Ditto Kiambu. DCP is sure bet - it UDA which is questionable.

Quote from: RV Pundit on January 12, 2026, 11:20:02 AM
Gachagua is smart enough to know PORK and DPORK is gone from him. He is looking for Nairobi governor - and Mt kenya - at least Nyandarua, Nyeri, Laikipia and Kirinyanga now - Kiambu is tough for him. Muranga impossible (Kangata - Ndidi will likely run on their own party and win)

Gachagua is not stupid.

Quote from: Modesty Blaise on January 11, 2026, 10:25:58 PM
They will give Babu Owino if he can deliver Luo. It is about his value not raw tribalism.
97
Kenya Discussion / Re: Ida Odinga Vs Oburu Odinga?What is the end game?
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on January 12, 2026, 12:48:53 PM »
Nairobi county is big but not worth PORK.
Gema + Kamba easily beat Kavirondo alliance.

The power is with RiggyG and Kalonzo. Not Ruto and Sakaja.
If they offer Babu Owino governor he will heartlessly abandon Sakaja and ODM.

Quote from: RV Pundit on January 12, 2026, 11:23:20 AM
Political reality - Babu 'non-tribal' support will evaporate - Kikuyus badly desperately need Nairobi - now that PORK and DPORK are out.
Nairobi is BIG COUNTY.
If I was Babu - I would do 50-50 MOU with Sakaja - and become Deputy governor - for 5yrs - 2027 run and win.
Even if Babu wins - Ruto will not work with him - so he just need to understand it tough for him.

If he follows opposition - he will be offered Deputy of DCP - and Sakaja will offer Odinga family (likely Winnie) the Deputy.

Political reality - Nairobi politics - there is loose alliance in every const btw Kavirondo (Luo, Luhya, gusii) - against Mt kenya.

For Babu to break such alliance it TOUGH - because MCAs need it, Mps need it, name it - so he will be kicked out very FAST by KAVIRONDO URBAN MAFIA from slums all the way up

Quote from: Githunguri on January 12, 2026, 02:12:25 AM
Correct.

What should babu do?
98
Kenya Discussion / Re: Ida Odinga Vs Oburu Odinga?What is the end game?
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on January 12, 2026, 12:48:13 PM »
RiggyG will do the math.

If he gets ghost PM and some CS slots under Kalonzo - it is worth nothing if Ruto wins.
If Babu Owino can deliver significant Luo - RiggyG can cut him Nairobi governor.

Sifuna & Babu Owino are BIG SCOOP for opposition. Not just direct votes but optics. To stop Ruto from bagging whole ODM.
Basically takes the sail from Ruto - by taking the progressive faction.

Quote from: RV Pundit on January 12, 2026, 11:20:02 AM
Gachagua is smart enough to know PORK and DPORK is gone from him. He is looking for Nairobi governor - and Mt kenya - at least Nyandarua, Nyeri, Laikipia and Kirinyanga now - Kiambu is tough for him. Muranga impossible (Kangata - Ndidi will likely run on their own party and win)

Gachagua is not stupid.

Quote from: Modesty Blaise on January 11, 2026, 10:25:58 PM
They will give Babu Owino if he can deliver Luo. It is about his value not raw tribalism.
99
Kenya Discussion / Re: Ida Odinga Vs Oburu Odinga?What is the end game?
« Last post by RV Pundit on January 12, 2026, 11:23:20 AM »
Political reality - Babu 'non-tribal' support will evaporate - Kikuyus badly desperately need Nairobi - now that PORK and DPORK are out.
Nairobi is BIG COUNTY.
If I was Babu - I would do 50-50 MOU with Sakaja - and become Deputy governor - for 5yrs - 2027 run and win.
Even if Babu wins - Ruto will not work with him - so he just need to understand it tough for him.

If he follows opposition - he will be offered Deputy of DCP - and Sakaja will offer Odinga family (likely Winnie) the Deputy.

Political reality - Nairobi politics - there is loose alliance in every const btw Kavirondo (Luo, Luhya, gusii) - against Mt kenya.

For Babu to break such alliance it TOUGH - because MCAs need it, Mps need it, name it - so he will be kicked out very FAST by KAVIRONDO URBAN MAFIA from slums all the way up

Quote from: Githunguri on January 12, 2026, 02:12:25 AM
Correct.

What should babu do?
100
Kenya Discussion / Re: Ida Odinga Vs Oburu Odinga?What is the end game?
« Last post by RV Pundit on January 12, 2026, 11:20:02 AM »
Gachagua is smart enough to know PORK and DPORK is gone from him. He is looking for Nairobi governor - and Mt kenya - at least Nyandarua, Nyeri, Laikipia and Kirinyanga now - Kiambu is tough for him. Muranga impossible (Kangata - Ndidi will likely run on their own party and win)

Gachagua is not stupid.

Quote from: Modesty Blaise on January 11, 2026, 10:25:58 PM
They will give Babu Owino if he can deliver Luo. It is about his value not raw tribalism.
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