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91
Kenya Discussion / Re: BANISA, MBEERE NORTH, AND MALAVA delivers devastating news for United Opposition
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 07:05:05 AM »
Quote from: RV Heavy Hitter! on November 28, 2025, 06:52:36 AM
:) so where does that leave Ruto and Blood-Based?

Any comment on Kabuchai? Is Bukusu gone or gone?
In presidential elections, Bukusu always vote for the government. Local MCA seats and clan politics are a different story. Luhyas have 18+ subtribes and 50+ clans. UDA is not investing heavy on County MCA seats. If you want to gauge 2027, use places like Banisa, Baringo, Nandi, Turkana, Coast, and Nakuru on bigger offices MPs and up!. Most UDAs are running unopposed or winning by an 80% margin!
[/quote]

Kisa East: UDA stepped down for MDG - it's a clear loss for Broad-Based.
Ditto Kabuchai. It's actually the opposition that was divided in both wards.

Malava has been tainted by violence. Why arrest or threaten your opponents?
Luhya will go bad for Ruto - such dirty games are very bad optics.

THE CLEAR WIN FOR RUTO IS MBEERE.
RiggyG must be sweating really bad in Wamunyoro.

Baringo, Banissa, Samburu, etc - are already Ruto turf.
Kasipul, Ugunja is Luo business.
Magarini they defended their turf with ODM.

Nakuru...? Nothing there.
Of course you are wrong about Kikuyus. They peed on UDA in Kariobangi.
92
Kenya Discussion / Re: BANISA, MBEERE NORTH, AND MALAVA delivers devastating news for United Opposition
« Last post by RV Heavy Hitter! on November 28, 2025, 06:52:36 AM »
Quote from: Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 06:40:53 AM
Quote from: RV Heavy Hitter! on November 28, 2025, 06:15:23 AM
Quote from: Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 06:05:34 AM
Rigging Malava will only harden the Luhya rebellion against Ruto.

The drubbing of Blood-Based in Kisa East and Kabuchai is very telling.
UDA did have a candidate in KISA East. It is DAP-K that faced drubbing!

:) so where does that leave Ruto and Blood-Based?

Any comment on Kabuchai? Is Bukusu gone or gone?
In presidential elections, Bukusu always vote for the government. Local MCA seats and clan politics are a different story. Luhyas have 18+ subtribes and 50+ clans. UDA is not investing heavy on County MCA seats. If you want to gauge 2027, use places like Banisa, Baringo, Nandi, Turkana, Coast, and Nakuru on bigger offices MPs and up!. Most UDAs are running unopposed or winning by an 80% margin!
93
Kenya Discussion / Re: My prediction for 27th by-election
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 06:45:00 AM »
Quote from: RV Heavy Hitter! on November 28, 2025, 06:18:06 AM
Quote from: Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 03:58:58 AM
We are only interested in Big 2 - Malava and Mbeere North. Still pending.

ODM-UDA combo winning in Magarini (Kilifi) means little. Or Banissa pastoralist area. Or Wiper in Machakos.

Other interesting ones of course are
• Narok Town MCA - DCP Masikonde has kicked UDA (57 v 42%)  https://ln.run/G5BGl
• Kisa East (Khwisero) - DCP Okwiri has kicked MDG. ODM distant 4th  https://ln.run/YiizZ
• Chwele/Kabuchai - Natembeya boy Wekesa has kicked FORD-K  (70-30%)  https://ln.run/ZOU_I
• Kariobangi North - DCP Warui has kicked ODM and UDA distant 3rd and 4th  https://ln.run/nhBss

Kabuchai is the most interesting. It Wetangula village he gets a serious dog-beating 8)

So far so good for united oppostion.
You are slow. David Ndakwa won also in Malava!
https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2025-11-28-udas-leo-wamuthende-clinches-mbeere-north-seat

I posted this hours ago.
I still see 0% uploads for Malava.
94
Kenya Discussion / Re: BANISA, MBEERE NORTH, AND MALAVA delivers devastating news for United Opposition
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 06:40:53 AM »
Quote from: RV Heavy Hitter! on November 28, 2025, 06:15:23 AM
Quote from: Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 06:05:34 AM
Rigging Malava will only harden the Luhya rebellion against Ruto.

The drubbing of Blood-Based in Kisa East and Kabuchai is very telling.
UDA did have a candidate in KISA East. It is DAP-K that faced drubbing!

:) so where does that leave Ruto and Blood-Based?

Any comment on Kabuchai? Is Bukusu gone or gone?
95
Kenya Discussion / Re: BANISA, MBEERE NORTH, AND MALAVA delivers devastating news for United Opposition
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 06:27:04 AM »
Quote from: RV Heavy Hitter! on November 28, 2025, 05:59:25 AM
Quote from: Fairandbalanced on November 28, 2025, 05:26:16 AM
Opposition lost by like 300votes in mbeere, this is where the DP and a CS in the government comes from, it can hardly be called a win by the government that only manages 300votes with stealing, bribery and intimidation. I was more interested in Luhyaland and Kisii land, this is where the next election will be won.
Mbeere is Gachagua's stronghold. 40% of Mbeere are Okuyus; the rest are half-Okuyu Mbeere. UDA to win or even come close shows areas like Nakuru is UDA hands down!

It's Kindiki's bedroom. Literally next to Tharaka. Riggy at least has Kirinyaga county between them. Plus the heavy spending on goodies by UDA.

BUT... a win is a win. Without Malava-type violence or such verifiable ukora this is an actual loss for RiggyG. A fair & square win by Kindiki.
Ruto will not fire the dwarf.
RiggyG has to go back to the drawing board. A clean sweep of Mlima now is a herculean task.
96
Kenya Discussion / Re: My prediction for 27th by-election
« Last post by RV Heavy Hitter! on November 28, 2025, 06:18:06 AM »
Quote from: Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 03:58:58 AM
We are only interested in Big 2 - Malava and Mbeere North. Still pending.

ODM-UDA combo winning in Magarini (Kilifi) means little. Or Banissa pastoralist area. Or Wiper in Machakos.

Other interesting ones of course are
• Narok Town MCA - DCP Masikonde has kicked UDA (57 v 42%)  https://ln.run/G5BGl
• Kisa East (Khwisero) - DCP Okwiri has kicked MDG. ODM distant 4th  https://ln.run/YiizZ
• Chwele/Kabuchai - Natembeya boy Wekesa has kicked FORD-K  (70-30%)  https://ln.run/ZOU_I
• Kariobangi North - DCP Warui has kicked ODM and UDA distant 3rd and 4th  https://ln.run/nhBss

Kabuchai is the most interesting. It Wetangula village he gets a serious dog-beating 8)

So far so good for united oppostion.
You are slow. David Ndakwa won also in Malava!
https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2025-11-28-udas-leo-wamuthende-clinches-mbeere-north-seat
97
Kenya Discussion / Re: BANISA, MBEERE NORTH, AND MALAVA delivers devastating news for United Opposition
« Last post by RV Heavy Hitter! on November 28, 2025, 06:15:23 AM »
Quote from: Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 06:05:34 AM
Rigging Malava will only harden the Luhya rebellion against Ruto.

The drubbing of Blood-Based in Kisa East and Kabuchai is very telling.
UDA did have a candidate in KISA East. It is DAP-K that faced drubbing!
98
Kenya Discussion / Re: BANISA, MBEERE NORTH, AND MALAVA delivers devastating news for United Opposition
« Last post by RV Heavy Hitter! on November 28, 2025, 06:08:26 AM »
Quote from: Fairandbalanced on November 28, 2025, 05:59:04 AM
For those of us waiting to relocate, retire or invest, you better think this through. Kenya in 2027 is being prepared for something not seen since independence.
Kenya will be thriving in 2027 and beyond. American and Chinese money is flocking to Kenya like never before. Wall Street people are investing in Kenya like never before. Every savvy investor is pulling money from American blue chip stocks and buying properties all over Kenya. In 2035-2045, millions of people will be concentrated in East Africa, and Nairobi and its environs will be boomtowns! The Ruto administration has given investors more confidence than any president in Kenya's history.
99
Kenya Discussion / Re: BANISA, MBEERE NORTH, AND MALAVA delivers devastating news for United Opposition
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 06:05:34 AM »
Rigging Malava will only harden the Luhya rebellion against Ruto.

The drubbing of Blood-Based in Kisa East and Kabuchai is very telling.
100
Kenya Discussion / Re: BANISA, MBEERE NORTH, AND MALAVA delivers devastating news for United Opposition
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on November 28, 2025, 06:03:00 AM »
Quote from: Fairandbalanced on November 28, 2025, 05:59:04 AM
For those of us waiting to relocate, retire or invest, you better think this through. Kenya in 2027 is being prepared for something not seen since independence.

There was significant violence in Malava. Seth Panyako personally attacked and arrested for reporting it. Wamalwa's car torched. Natembeya is still missing. Natembeya and Khalwale's security was withdrawn a day to D-day.

Ruto like Suluhu is proving Mwafrika is yet to evolve.
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